Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Checking in on Brandon Belt

It's been a little over a month since Brandon Belt was sent to Fresno to work on his confidence, so I thought that a check-in on the kid was in order.

By all accounts, Belt has regained that missing confidence and re-proven that he can absolutely destroy minor league pitching. In 29 games, Belt has shown that there really isn't much more for him to prove in the minor leagues and it's just a matter of time until he gets the call to the big leagues.

All he has done is post a .351/.484/.553 line with 26 walks against 27 strikeouts. That is good enough for an OPS of 1.037 which believe it or not actually brings down his career minor league numbers a bit.

His stat line is impressive and even with the inflated offensive numbers of the Pacific Coast League, this translates into a major league equivalency of .289/.408/.440. That MLE would breakdown to a .352 wOBA which would make him one of the most productive players on the offensive starved Giants right now.

If you add his MLE to his previous numbers at the Major League level, that would boost his production from a .278 wOBA that earned him a ticket back to Fresno to a .325 wOBA that would be right around league average.

I have to believe there isn't too much more that he can learn against AAA pitching and he will need to make his adjustments at the big league level. The question isn't if he will be brought up this season but rather who he will replace when he does.

Stay tuned for that one.

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